Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.032350 0.038150 0.044178 0.050872 0.058062 0.065520 0.073810
2025-11-02 0.023445 0.031734 0.040915 0.051653 0.063708 0.076684 0.091576
2025-11-09 0.017295 0.026833 0.038039 0.051735 0.067647 0.085243 0.105892
2025-11-16 0.012009 0.021820 0.034113 0.049801 0.068614 0.089914 0.115380
2025-11-23 0.008185 0.017835 0.030785 0.048018 0.069285 0.093861 0.123702
2025-11-30 0.006232 0.015991 0.029863 0.048921 0.072934 0.101079 0.135615
2025-12-07 0.004828 0.014645 0.029384 0.050213 0.076922 0.108592 0.147782
2025-12-14 0.003918 0.013890 0.029592 0.052298 0.081814 0.117125 0.161099
2025-12-21 0.002890 0.012630 0.028907 0.053077 0.084983 0.123527 0.171856
2025-12-28 0.002762 0.013128 0.030844 0.057403 0.092650 0.135373 0.189068
2026-01-04 0.001644 0.011094 0.028686 0.055968 0.092849 0.138064 0.195336
2026-01-11 0.001123 0.010209 0.028229 0.056826 0.095951 0.144264 0.205762
2026-01-18 0.000612 0.009028 0.027237 0.056980 0.098270 0.149698 0.215540
2026-01-25 0.000325 0.008280 0.026912 0.058077 0.101848 0.156731 0.227313
2026-02-01 0.000100 0.007279 0.025994 0.058221 0.104107 0.162091 0.237040
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005713 0.023736 0.056175 0.103291 0.163490 0.241859
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004400 0.021683 0.054277 0.102564 0.164920 0.246651
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003973 0.021463 0.055241 0.105765 0.171343 0.257573
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003684 0.021512 0.056618 0.109531 0.178485 0.269381
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003612 0.022075 0.058837 0.114481 0.187155 0.283087
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003240 0.021818 0.059665 0.117452 0.193262 0.293609
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003707 0.023794 0.064259 0.125784 0.206322 0.312786
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002866 0.022170 0.062736 0.125383 0.208044 0.317848